Disney Got Its Groove Back With ‘Moana 2,’ but Troubled ‘Snow White’ Could Halt the Momentum

Disney Got Its Groove Back With ‘Moana 2,’ but Troubled ‘Snow White’ Could Halt the Momentum

MOANA 2, Moana (voice: Auli'i Cravalho), 2024. © Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures / Courtesy Everett Collection

©Walt Disney Co./Courtesy Evere

When Bob Iger returned to the Disney CEO throne at the end of 2022, his first order of business was to dismantle a structure that saw the studio’s distribution and creative divisions operating separately. Instead, he put distribution and marketing under the control of Disney Entertainment co-chairman Alan Bergman. One year later, Iger made clear that Disney would stay far away from the culture wars that had taken a toll on the company’s stock price amid a revolt from conservative consumers. “Creators lost sight of what their No. 1 objective needed to be,” he said at the DealBook Summit. “We have to entertain first. It’s not about messages.”

Fast-forward to 2024, and “Moana 2” marks the fulfilment of those two adjustments—a movie able to pivot from its planned release on Disney+ and escape the wrath of right-wing influencers who believe the studio had been pushing a “woke” ideology, a perception stoked by activist shareholder Nelson Peltz. The animated sequel, which features a voice cast led by Dwayne Johnson—an actor whose appeal straddles both sides of the political divide—shattered Thanksgiving box office records en route to a $386 million worldwide haul. Disney appears to have gotten its groove back following misfires like “The Marvels” and “Wish.”

“Disney had been for a long time on top, and everything had been smooth sailing,” says box office analyst Jeff Bock of Exhibitor Relations. “And then they ran into some rough waters. And this is ‘Moana’ sailing away from that and back to the promised land.”

Less than a year ago, the “Moana” follow-up was poised to be a streaming series rather than a feature theatrical release. Moving it posed a risk that could have backfired, but Bergman felt the project was worthy of a cinematic bow. In February, the animated sequel relocated from Disney’s Vancouver studio to a production facility on the Burbank lot, with everyone working on an aggressive timeline to keep the Nov. 27 release date. With a renewed emphasis on the theatrical strategy, the studio also reversed course on this year’s “The First Omen” and “Alien: Romulus,” which were intended for streaming.

Though Disney at times has struggled post-COVID across all its divisions, including Pixar (“Lightyear”) and live action (“The Little Mermaid,” “Haunted Mansion”), the idea that it had lost its mojo may be an overstatement. After all, the studio was No. 1 at the global box office from 2016 to 2022. In 2023, Disney lost the top spot to Universal by just $80 million despite releasing seven fewer movies. And the studio delivered two enormous hits this past year with “Deadpool & Wolverine” and “Inside Out 2,” which amassed more than $3 billion combined.

Still, Disney began to surrender the narrative, with the likes of Peltz and Elon Musk criticizing the studio for pushing liberal values over storytelling. The ensuing social media noise often created a self-fulfilling prophecy of a bomb before a film opened, as happened when conservative commentator Ben Shapiro targeted “Lightyear” for giving significant screen time to a lesbian couple who were not part of the “Toy Story” franchise.

“Moana 2” didn’t stray far from the original and didn’t spark political outrage. The sole blip came via the film’s voice actress, Nicole Scherzinger: When Russell Brand posted on Instagram a photo of himself in a MAGA-style hat that read “Make Jesus First Again,” she replied enthusiastically, “Where do I get this hat!!!?” Left-wing voices objected to the Election Day missive, and Scherzinger deleted it. Things died down.

Looking ahead, analysts believe that a live-action “Mufasa” and “Lilo & Stitch” and an animated “Zootopia” sequel will extend the studio’s streak. But one upcoming release, March’s live-action “Snow White,” has been dogged by expensive reshoots and controversies related to star Rachel Zegler’s social media posts. The actress declined to take down a tweet thread that promoted the $240 million movie with a “free palestine” postscript but did apologize for a “Fuck Donald Trump” and “May Trump supporters… never know peace” Instagram post. Wading into divisive issues, as Zegler has done, isn’t part of Disney’s new playbook.

“We just had an election, and in very rough terms, half of the voters supported one side and half supported the other side,” says Guggenheim Securities’ Michael Morris, speaking generally and not about Scherzinger or Zegler specifically. “And if I am a company that is trying to connect with the broadest potential audience and I cut that addressable market in half before I even release the product, I’m really limiting my ability to maximize the value of the product. That’s why it’s important to entertain first and foremost.”

With the success of “Moana 2,” the studio has set the table for a live-action feature based on the property set for July 10, 2026. Disney’s ability to turn its beloved homegrown animated favorites into live-action hits—like “The Jungle Book” and “Beauty and the Beast”—has become a cornerstone of the studio’s economic health—a symbiotic loop with the original driving awareness for the adaptation and the adaptation pushing audiences back to view the original on Disney+. Case in point: “Moana” was the No. 1 movie in all of streaming in 2023, seven years after it landed in theaters, according to Nielsen.

Meanwhile, the live-action division headed up by David Greenbaum will continue to mine some of the most valuable IP in Hollywood. All eyes are trained on the $4.53 billion “Pirates of the Caribbean” franchise and the prospect of another sequel.

VIP+ Analysis: Why ‘Moana 2’ Opening Signals Brutal Year-End Battle With ‘Mufasa’

Sources say the studio has not engaged with Johnny Depp, the franchise’s biggest draw, who found himself exiled by Disney after ex-wife Amber Heard accused him of domestic abuse. But Depp prevailed in a 2022 defamation case against the actress and has been on the comeback trail.

“Pirates” producer Jerry Bruckheimer is developing two versions of the script on parallel tracks, one that could bring Depp back into the fold if the actor and Disney can reconcile.

“Nothing has been ruled out,” says one knowledgeable source.

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Netflix quietly adds one of the best movies of the last decade with near perfect Rotten Tomatoes rating

Netflix quietly adds one of the best movies of the last decade with near perfect Rotten Tomatoes rating

Netflix quietly adds one of the best movies of the last decade with near perfect Rotten Tomatoes rating

It’s been compared to Trainspotting and Eminem’s 8 Mile biopic

Netflix fans have been taken aback after one of the highest-rated movies of the last decade was quietly added to the platform this week.

Winter is a hectic time of year for all of us, including Netflix, whose recent additions include its annual Lindsay Lohan-led Christmas rom-com and a new conspiracy thriller fans can’t get enough of.

With so much new content to binge, subscribers might have missed out on this’real gem’ based on a true story.

The movie, released back in January, has gone on to earn critical acclaim, particularly from Rotten Tomatoes critics, who scored it an almost-perfect 96 percent.

One reviewer likened it to Eminem’s 8 Mile and Danny Boyle’s Trainspotting —so if either of those are your vibe, you’re bound to love this one.

Fans have hailed the movie a 'hidden gem' (Curzon Film)

Fans have hailed the movie a ‘hidden gem’ (Curzon Film)

The music biopic centers on a controversial Northern Irish hip-hop trio who become the unlikely figureheads of a Civil Rights movement as they desperately attempt to save their native language.

The movie is named after—and stars – the real-life trio Kneecap.

Liam Óg Ó Hannaidh, Naoise Ó Caireallain, and J.J. Ó Dochartaigh – perhaps better known by their stage names Mo Chara, Móglaí Bap and DJ Próvaí – formed Kneecap in 2017.

The trio openly court controversy with their provocative lyrics and merchandise.

The movie chronicles their rise to fame and the chaos that followed, as the film’s synopsis explains: “When fate brings Belfast schoolteacher JJ into the orbit of self-confessed ‘low life scum’ Naoise and Liam Og, the needle drops on a hip-hop act like no other.

“But the trio must first overcome police, paramilitaries, and politicians trying to silence their defiant sound, while their anarchic approach to life often makes them their own worst enemies.”

Directed by Rich Peppiatt, Kneecap earned multiple award nominations and joined Netflix on December 2.

 Mo Chara (left) and Móglaí Bap (right) of Kneecap (Luke Brennan/Getty Images)

Mo Chara (left) and Móglaí Bap (right) of Kneecap (Luke Brennan/Getty Images)

Over on Rotten Tomatoes, Filipe Freitas from Always Good Movies described the film’s ‘sensationalist execution’ as ‘a pastiche of Trainspotting (1996) and 8 Mile (2002), with a dash of Guy Ritchie’s gangster flair.’

The Times’ Kevin Maher agreed, writing: “The mood and tone are hugely indebted to Trainspotting. The director Rich Peppiatt matches Danny Boyle’s busy structural template as our apprentice rappers become accidental outlaws.”

Wenlei Ma of The Nightly said Kneecap ‘crackles with energy, attitude and youth and takes you along for a riotous and persuasive ride.’

Meanwhile, Mark Kermode of Kermode and Mayo’s Take reckoned: “In the great pantheon of pop biopics, I think this is one of the most distinctive offerings.”

And the movie’s audience agreed, almost matching the critics’ score with 95 percent.

One fan said the movie was a ‘hidden gem,’ describing it as ‘a wild ride the whole way through.’

“I think despite being profane and raunchy, where this movie snuck up on me, it really has a lot to say about a variety of social topics and creative expression,” they added.

Another summed it up quite simply: “Rebellious meets funny with great music.”

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‘Moana 2’ $389 Million Box Office All-Time Top Animated Debut Weekend

‘Moana 2’ $389 Million Box Office All-Time Top Animated Debut Weekend

Moana 2 continued to surpass all expectations and finished with $389 million as the top animated movie opening weekend of all time at the worldwide box office, besting Inside Out 2’s own record-setting bow this summer by almost $100 million.

Moana 2’s Record-Breaking Debut

Previously, Moana 2 was already blowing the doors off the box office and besting estimates with a projected $375 million as of Saturday, which in turn was a big bump past initial pre-holiday predictions pegging the film’s performance somewhere closer to $250-300 million globally.

Instead, Moana 2’s domestic ticket sales alone almost hit those figures, with more than $225 million in North America. Additionally, Moana 2 put up the biggest Thanksgiving gross in cinema history and biggest post-Thanksgiving day as well.

All told, this helped boost stateside sales to a new record for the holiday, at more than $420 million. While 2024 will still wind up down overall, every win helps.

And it’s worth noting, there’s no denying animation has done more than its share of heavy lifting these days—just the top performers Inside Out 2 ($1.698 billion), Despicable Me 4 ($969 million), Kung Fu Panda 4 ($547), The Wild Robot ($321 million), and Moana 2 ($389 million) have already contributed nearly $4 billion to the year’s coffers, with Moana 2 set to increase that past the $5 billion mark.

Will Moana 2 Top $1 Billion?

It’s early in Moana 2’s release, obviously, but there’s much we can discern from its debut numbers, particularly in the context of current theatrical competition and the trifecta of holidays from now through the start of 2025.

Already, even a modest 2.5x final multiplier would send Moana 2 sailing past $970 million. But with two weeks of open seas ahead at the box office and only moderate challengers arriving in mid-December, Moana 2 should see plenty of repeat business as well as audiences who waited until opening weekend and the Thanksgiving crunch were over before venturing to multiplexes with their families and friends.

But consider that Moana 2 is playing at record-shattering levels—even ahead of Inside Out 2, which this summer became the highest-grossing animated film of all time with $1.698 billion—despite Wicked also occupying a strong position at the box office as another family-friendly popular brand that looks to have long legs through the coming holiday season. At $359 million worldwide and counting, Wicked is already the biggest Broadway film adaptation ever released in domestic theaters.

The fact Moana 2 is able to perform at such sky-high levels alongside Wicked’s success, then, points to both the power of the Disney franchise’s brand as well as to the positive word of mouth driving the film’s success.

Good thing, then, that it has a long runway ahead with no serious obstacles to slow it down until December 20th. Then there’s the sheer power of the Christmas holiday season to create nice big waves that lift all boats higher into the New Year, where Moana 2 should get a good boost at just the time it might otherwise see more of a falloff in attendance and momentum.

Can Moana 2 Top The 2024 Charts?

Moana 2 will finish Monday with a worldwide total, pushing it into the year’s top-10 highest earners—probably the #9 position — after just six days in release. By end of business Thursday ahead of its second weekend, Moana 2 should challenge Kung Fu Panda 4’s $547.6 million for the #6 spot on the year’s charts.

Exactly how high up those charts Moana 2 climbs — even though we know it will be high —are still uncertain.

It will take a 3.44x final multiplier for Moana 2 to best Deadpool & Wolverine’s $1.338 billion to become the second-highest grossing movie of the year. And a 4.4x final multiplier is what it would take to send Moana 2 past Inside Out 2 for the year’s box office crown.

Looking back at Inside Out 2’s run, that film opened to $295 million around the world before building so much momentum and must-see buzz that it finished with a mind-blowing 5.75x final multiplier (i.e., the final box office of $1.698 billion divided by the opening weekend of $295 million).

While I don’t expect Moana 2 to play as long and strong as Inside Out 2, I do believe the combination of factors will all add up to Moana 2 enjoying a generous final multiplier somewhere in the 4x range.

That would be good enough to push Moana 2 past $1.55 billion and into second place on the 2024 box office charts. This is where I currently think Moana 2 will finish its run, with a low-end prediction of about $1.4 billion and a high-end of $1.6 billion—all still landing the film in that #2 position.

The lowest end of my expectations would be a larger than expected drop next weekend, due to heavier front-loading, and then more interest in the new releases mid-December. That would reduce momentum and might lead to a subsequent larger decline in audience target demos when Christmas arrives with a new batch of releases.

In that case, then, I would guess a final box office for Moana 2 somewhere right around $1.1 billion or slightly less. So, ahead even of the worst-case $900+ million mentioned earlier.

But as noted, it’s still extremely early to try to guess so far into the future, regardless of how much initial data we have to consider.

So, if Moana 2’s weekday earnings plus second weekend wind up overperforming on par with its opening figures, then it could easily put itself close enough to $1 billion on its third weekend to provide the momentum capable of overtaking Inside Out 2 through the Christmas holiday. I’ll be watching this week and next weekend closely.

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The Disney sequel sees Lin-Manuel Miranda replaced by Abigail Barlow and Emily Bear as co-composers

‘Moana 2’ soundtrack: here’s every song in the film

The Disney sequel sees Lin-Manuel Miranda replaced by Abigail Barlow and Emily Bear as co-composers

Disney sequel Moana 2 is in cinemas now, but what songs are included in the new film? Read on for the full list.

The sequel to the 2016 original, the new movie catches up with the spirited Polynesian title character as she takes to the far seas of Oceania after receiving an unexpected call from her ancestors.

Auli’i Cravalho returns as Moana, as does Dwayne Johnson as Maui, the shapeshifting demigod who accompanies her on her journey, and Nicole Scherzinger as Moana’s mother Sina. Joining the cast this time around are comedian Rose Matafeo as Loto and David Fane as Kele, two members of Moana’s wayfinding crew.

The film is directed by David Derrick Jr., known for working as a storyboard artist on The Lion King (2019), Encanto and the original Moana, alongside Jason Hand and Dana Ledoux Miller.

Moana 2 had originally been intended as a long-form streaming series but was reworked into a feature film by February 2024, and it premiered in Hawaii on November 21 before receiving its wide cinematic release on Wednesday (November 27).

Moana 2 soundtrack: here’s every song in the film

The film sees composers Mark Mancina and Opetaia Foa’i return from the first movie, but while the original featured co-composer Lin-Manuel Miranda, including on memorable tracks like ‘You’re Welcome’ and ‘How Far I’ll Go’, this time around Miranda is replaced by Abigail Barlow and Emily Bear, who worked together on The Unofficial Bridgerton Musical.

The album’s official soundtrack album includes 16 tracks, comprised largely of musical numbers from the film performed by the cast. The album was released by Walt Disney Records on November 22, while a deluxe version came out three days later, featuring the original score by Mancina and Foa’i and six instrumental versions of some of the songs.

The Moana 2 tracklist is:

‘Tulou Tagaloa (Sei e Va’ai Mai)’ Olivia Foa’i, Te Vaka
‘We’re Back’ Auli’i Cravalho, Villagers of Motunui
‘Tuputupu (The Feast)’ – Te Vaka
‘Beyond’ – Auli’i Cravalho, Rachel House
‘My Wish For You (Innocent Warrior)’ Olivia Foa’i, Sulata Foai-Amiatu, Matatia Foai, Matthew Ineleo, and Opetaia Foa’i
‘Finding The Way’ – Olivia Foa’i, Te Vaka
‘What Could Be Better Than This?’ Auli’i Cravalho, Hualalai Chung, Rose Matafeo, David Fane
‘Get Lost’ – Awhimai Fraser
‘Can I Get A Chee Hoo?’ Dwayne Johnson
‘Mana Vavau’ Dwayne Johnson, Opetaia Foa’i, Rachel House
‘Beyond (Reprise)’ Auli’i Cravalho
‘Nuku O Kaiga’ – Te Vaka
‘Finding The Way (Reprise)’ – Te Vaka
‘We Know The Way (Te Fenua Te Malie)’ Auli’i Cravalho, Olivia Foa’i, Opetaia Foa’i, Te Vaka
‘Beyond (End Credit Version)’ Auli’i Cravalho, Te Vaka
‘We’re Back (Te Vaka Version)’ Olivia Foa’i, Sulata Foai-Amiatu, Te Vaka

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